The Probabilities of Hurricanes in Various Parts of the World

The table below shows the probabilities of any hurricane and of a major hurricane with winds of 111 mph or faster passing within 75 miles of the locations listed in any one year. These numbers are a measure of relative danger. The numbers can also be read as the number of storms to be expected in an average 100-year period. For example, Biloxi, Miss. has a 10% chance of any hurricane passing within 75 miles in any one year and a 3% chance of a major hurricane. During an average century Biloxi can expect 10 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.The list below follows the U.S. Gulf Coast from Brownsville, Texas to Key West, Fla. and then the Atlantic Coast to Portland, Maine. Hurricane probabilities for the continental USA Location Any hurricane Major hurricane Brownsville, Texas 7.1 2.2 Corpus Christi, Texas 6.7 2.3 Galveston, Texas 14.3 4.2 New Orleans 12.5 3.2 Biloxi, Miss 10.0 3.0 Mobile, Ala. 10.0 3.0 Panama City, Fla. 14.3 3.7 Tampa, Fla. 17.5 4.8 Fort Myers, Fla. 17.5 5.6 Key West, Fla. 19.6 7.7 Miami 26.3 11.1 Cape Canaveral, Fla. 14.3 3.9 Jacksonville, Fla. 9.1 1.9 Savannah, Ga. 7.1 1.3 Charleston, S.C. 10.0 2.2 Myrtle Beach, S.C. 10.0 2.6 Cape Hatteras, N.C. 21.3 5.3 Virginia, Beach, Va. 6.7 1.3 Ocean City, Md. 4.2 0.9 Atlantic City, N.J. 4.8 1.2 New York City 6.3 1.6 Providence, R.I. 10.0 2.9 Nantucket, Mass. 12.5 3.2 Boston, Mass. 5.9 1.3 Portland, Maine 2.9 0.3 Hurricane probabilities for the Caribbean, Bahamas, Bermuda Antigua 20.0 6.7 Barbados 8.3 2.3 Bonaire 2.2 0.6 Kingston, Jamaica 14.3 5.9 Nassau, Bahamas 22.2 9.1 San Juan, Puerto Rico 12.4 4.2 Santo Domingo, Dom. Republic 11.1 3.9 U.S. Virgin Islands 16.7 5.9